The below chart represents the positioning of professional money managers.   We’re beginning to see them shift their money to bearish positions.  This is normally a precursor to a sell off.  Visit our site www.stockbarometer.com to learn more.

 

NAAIM

This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

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The signal from Equity Fund Money Flow – is potentially showing bearish activity for 2017. Subscribe to the Daily Stock Barometer (links below) to find out when to sell the stock market!

Equity Fund Money Flow

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This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

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The stock market follows seasonal patterns. As part of any market timing strategy, you need to understand the forces that act on the market. From ‘go away in May’ to ‘Santa Claus Rally” there are actions that the market takes, year after year that can help keep you positioned correctly into the market. The first 5-7 days of January are also a good indicator on the future of the market.  Also, pension fund rebalancing is significant.  As the market rallies, pension funds have to rebalance (sell stocks) and buy bonds to maintain their target ratio.   Right now, there is an imbalance of bonds to stocks given the rally and stocks will sell off.  2017 also bring some key Euro elections.  And a new US administration.  We’d be a seller of stocks in early 2017!

stock market seasonality

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Hottest Financial Stocks For 2017

The most important thing to know about buying stocks is that you have finite capital and finite time to reach your goal.  So you want to own stocks when they’re going up, and sell them when they stop.  It’s that simple.

That means stock selection is key.  It is not enough to have positive earnings growth, because there are several thousand stocks that trade every day and many of them have good earnings – and a good story.  But not all of them are going up.  So it is even more important that the stock goes up, then it having any earnings at all.

But there are enough stocks out there that are going up and have quality earnings and earnings growth.  This is where your your search starts.

Next consideration is which one to buy.  If you have 5 stocks to chose from, and you have plenty of data to evaluate, you can easily pick by running through the charts.  Mathematically similar to the secretary problem, with 5 picks, you have a 38% chance of being right.  In fact, you could by all 5, and considering randomness and the law of large numbers, you can assume 2 will perform, 2 will fail and one won’t do anything.  That is why proper money management is the key to making money trading.  So whatever you do, use stops, and you’ll live to trade another day.

So, next consideration is market timing.  That means, that every day is not the right day to trade.  So what day is?  There are numerous ways to time the market.  It is something that at www.stockbarometer.com they have built a reputation at being the best and sharing their timing indicators for the every day trader and investor.

Here are 5 stocks to consider for 2017:

IGT – International Game Technology

CYBR – Cyberark Software LTD

M – Morgan Stanley

PANW – Palo Alto Networks Inc

F5 Networks Inc

These stocks have tremendous potential to continue higher into and through 2017.

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The relationship between stocks and bonds is key to interpreting and predicting future price action. The view is that the bond market is so much larger than the stock market, that money flowing in and out of bonds causes movement in other vehicles, such as stocks.

Take a look at the following momentum chart of the QQQ versus Bonds (in the form of TLT) :

QQQ Bonds TLT RSI

What you can see is initial peaks in the relative action cause markets to pause. The second peak – whether it’s higher or lower, tells you if momentum is shifting.

Where are we now? We’ve had our initial peak in Stocks bouncing relative to Bonds and we’re working on the second peak. We at www.stockbarometer.com expect a bearish divergence to set up the next move lower in the markets. Bonds will bounce, gold will bounce and risky assets will fall. But this action will ultimately set up the next best buying opportunity for the stock market! So stay tuned!

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This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

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Traders be on the look out for a top forming this week. This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

Nyse Crash Hindenberg Omen

For the above signal from the Hindenberg Omen to be valid, we need to see the McLellan Oscillator to be negative…it is:

McLellan Oscillator

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Traders be on the look out for a top forming this week. This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

AAII Stock Market Signal

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Traders be on the look out for a top forming this week. This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

Market timing cycle indicator

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Traders be on the look out for a top forming this week. This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

Stock Market Timing

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From this weekends advisory to clients – visit www.stockbarometer.com and subscribe to the Daily Stock Barometer – first month for only $1.  Stock market timing advice for over 15 years!

Market Vane